PATTERN COMPLETION
IN 1.13–1.618 RSI BAMM AREA
It
is important to remember that the line drawn across the chart from the low
point of the RSI BAMM Trigger Bar acts as a minimum support line for the entire
setup. Although the two price levels of the 1.13 and the 1.618 define the
entire area for the RSI BAMM, the pattern that is completing within these
constraints is the defining price range for the execution of a trade.
The
most important consideration involves the 1.13 and 1.618 RSI BAMM extensions to
define which pattern is utilized at the Completion Point. If the 1.13 extension
is triggered, there are several possibilities that may develop depending upon
the price structure at the Completion Point. The most common and most effective
pattern to define reversal points beyond the 1.13 extension is the Bullish
Butterfly pattern. Although an Alternate Bat pattern is typically found
completing exactly at the 1.13 extension and serves to define many excellent
setups, there are other situations where a Bullish Gartley or a Bullish Bat
develops to define the completion of the setup and execution of the trade.
Regardless of the type, the completion of the pattern in relation to the RSI
retest is the determining technical event that defines this situation.
The
impulsive RSI retest must coordinate with the completion of the harmonic
pattern at hand to validate the reversal. The completion of the pattern is the
most important consideration in this zone, as long as the impulse RSI test has
held above the prior reading’s low. Although waiting for the RSI to test the
overbought area may delay executions, it serves as an effective filter in the
completion area of a pattern. Furthermore, this coordination represents the
final point where the divergence of the RSI has completed and the price
structure indicates the end of the trend.
BULLISH BUTTERFLY
AT 1.13 RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
In
most cases, the Bullish Butterfly pattern forms at the 1.13 RSI BAMM
Confirmation Point, as illustrated in Figure 6.19. Since the Bullish Butterfly
employs a 1.27 XA extension, the completion of the pattern is going to be
slightly below the 1.13 RSI BAMM Confirmation Point.
FIGURE 6.19
Again,
the coordination of the RSI BAMM Confirmation Bar with the completion of the
harmonic pattern is the special technical situation that makes this Bullish
Butterfly more critical than most price structures. Essentially, the
Confirmation Point represents the defining area where the overall trend bias
has changed and the price is in the final stages of a complete turnaround.
CHEVRON-TEXACO
(CVX): DAILY
BULLISH BUTTERFLY
AT BULLISH RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
As
illustrated in the chart in Figure 6.20
of the Bullish Butterfly pattern in our Chevron-Texaco example, the stock
possessed an ideal RSI BAMM setup. The completion of the pattern coincided with
the RSI BAMM confirmation. As the price declined and formed the pattern
structure, the secondary impulsive RSI test at the Confirmation Point reversed
above the prior complex formation.
FIGURE 6.20
This
is a fantastic example because the Bullish Butterfly pattern was such a
distinct structure. The completion of the pattern marked a critical low on the
daily chart, and the price action stabilized after completely testing the PRZ.
The reversal turned at the completion of the pattern and the RSI BAMM, and
started to rally shortly thereafter.
CHEVRON-TEXACO
(CVX): DAILY
BULLISH BUTTERFLY
The
chart in Figure 6.21 of the Bullish
Butterfly in Chevron-Texaco shows the distinct pattern that completed at the
Confirmation Point (noted by the arrow). The stock reversed after completely
testing the pattern’s PRZ and the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point.
FIGURE 6.21
Although
the 1.27 extension of the Butterfly pattern completed slightly below the RSI
BAMM Confirmation Point, both methods identified a tight area just above $60 on
the daily chart for Chevron-Texaco as a major reversal point.
CHEVRON-TEXACO
(CVX): DAILY
BULLISH BUTTERFLY
POTENTIAL REVERSAL ZONE (PRZ) AT RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
The
coordination of the pattern’s completion and the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point
can be seen even more clearly on this chart of the PRZ (see Figure 6.22). The price action stabilized after testing this
area and reversed precisely at the completion of both the pattern and the RSI
BAMM setup.
FIGURE 6.22
This
example of Chevron-Texaco clearly shows how the technical phenomenon of the RSI
and price divergence comes together at a critical point of the pattern’s PRZ.
The Bullish Butterfly in this example was distinct and possessed three numbers
in a tight range. The ability of the stock to stabilize after testing the RSI
BAMM 1.13 extension and the pattern’s PRZ is the ideal type of price action in
most valid reversals.
INTERMEDIATE RSI
BAMM TRIGGER BAR SIGNALS 1.13 EXTENSION
The
Bullish Butterfly is not the only harmonic pattern that forms at the 1.13 RSI
BAMM Confirmation Point. In fact, the Alternate Bullish Bat is the most common
harmonic pattern that reverses precisely at the 1.13 extension (see Figure 6.23). It’s important to
note that the execution of a trade from an Alternate Bat is slightly different
from the standard version of the pattern. This is primarily due to the fact
that the Alternate Bat’s XA extension is a bit longer because of the slightly
varied structure.
FIGURE 6.24
As
is the case with all harmonic patterns at the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point, the
coordination of the PRZ and the final impulsive indicator retest is the
technical event that defines most valid reversals. In the Alternate Bat, the
completion of the RSI BAMM and the ultimate execution of the trade will focus
almost exclusively on the 1.13 extension at the Confirmation Point.
STANDARD AND POOR’S
JUNE 2009 MINI-CONTRACT (ES_M9): 5-MINUTE
ALTERNATE BULLISH
BAT WITH BULLISH RSI BAMM
The
example in Figure 6.24 shows the
entire Bullish RSI BAMM setup that incorporates a Alternate Bullish Bat at the
Confirmation Point. Again, the trade execution at the completion of the
Alternate Bullish Bat will be dictated by the price action at the 1.13
extension.
FIGURE 6.24
In
this example, the June 2009 S&P 500 mini-contract developed a fantastic RSI
BAMM that formed a distinct Alternate Bullish Bat at the RSI BAMM Confirmation
Point. The price action formed all of the required elements to validate the
setup.
STANDARD AND POOR’S
JUNE 2009 MINI-CONTRACT (ES_M9): 5-MINUTE
ALTERNATE BULLISH
BAT WITH BULLISH RSI BAMM
The
pattern shown on the enlarged chart in Figure
6.25 was distinct and completed in conjunction with the RSI BAMM. In fact,
the price action reversed exactly at the 1.13 extension.
FIGURE 6.25
This
example possessed all of the ideal elements of a valid RSI BAMM. The RSI
formation was nearly perfect, the pattern was distinct, and the price action
reversed precisely in this projected completion area.
PATTERN COMPLETION
BEFORE 1.13 RSI BAMM EXTENSION: BULLISH BAT
Although
the 1.13 RSI BAMM extension is a critical technical level in the completion of
the setup, especially in the Alternate Bullish Bat, other retracement patterns
such as the Bat and the Gartley frequently develop during this final phase. The
dilemma arises when these retracement patterns complete simultaneously, as they
successfully retest the oversold RSI 30 level triggering a valid buy signal (see Figure 6.26).
FIGURE 6.26
In
this situation, the completion of the harmonic pattern takes precedence over
the requirement of testing the 1.13 RSI BAMM extension. Although the minimum
support of the low point of the RSI BAMM Trigger Bar (dotted line) offers
another technical level in retracement pattern situations such as these, the
price action must be distinct and reverse after testing the PRZ to validate the
best trading opportunities. Furthermore, the pattern completion must coincide
with a successful impulsive RSI retest. Although the 1.13 RSI BAMM extension
exception makes room for retracement patterns, the coordination of the RSI and
the PRZ still employs the powerful confirmation of multiple technical methods
to provide greater confirmation of a valid reversal and a profitable move.
PHILADELPHIA
SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX ($SOX): BULLISH BAT
On
this 5-minute chart shown in Figure
6.27, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ($SOX) formed a distinct the
Bullish Bat that possessed ideal RSI BAMM conditions. As the $SOX entered the
final phase of the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point, the price action tested the PRZ
and completed the successful impulsive indicator retest.
FIGURE 6.27
Clearly,
the stock stabilized at the completion of the pattern, and the RSI was able to
reverse quickly thereafter. In these cases, the impulsive RSI test will
frequently be a leading signal at the completion of the pattern to indicate a
valid reversal.
PHILADELPHIA
SEMICONDUCTOR INDEX ($SOX): 5-MINUTE BULLISH BAT POTENTIAL REVERSAL ZONE AT RSI
BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
This
close-up snapshot of the PRZ and the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point in Figure 6.28 distinctly shows how the
price action stabilized after completing the pattern and reversing from the
impulsive indicator retest.
FIGURE 6.28
Although
the 1.13 RSI BAMM extension was only a few points lower, the price action
stabilized in the PRZ. This example of the $SOX clearly demonstrates the
importance of focusing on the harmonic numbers after the impulsive RSI test has
completed. The true advantage of this technique occurs best when the trade is
executed after both conditions of the pattern completion and the RSI BAMM are
satisfied.
PATTERN COMPLETION
BEFORE 1.13–1.618 RSI BAMM AREA: BULLISH GARTLEY
In
the case of the Bullish Gartley, illustrated in Figure 6.29, the structure of the pattern is extremely important.
Although the PRZ is typically well above the minimum 1.13 RSI BAMM extension,
this situation still relies on coordinating the completion of the pattern with
the final impulsive RSI retest.
FIGURE 6.29
Although
the Trigger Bar low point support (dotted line) complements this area, the
coordination of these two technical events is critical in validating the best
trade opportunities.
IBM (IBM): WEEKLY
BULLISH GARTLEY AT
RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
The
fantastic Gartley pattern in IBM shown in Figure
6.30 was distinct with a precise PRZ. In addition, the RSI BAMM conditions
were ideal on this weekly chart to validate the setup, as the Confirmation
Point reversed in tandem with the completion of the pattern.
FIGURE 6.30
It
is important to note that the RSI BAMM structure of both the complex and the
impulsive indicator readings were exemplary. Although retracement patterns like
the Bullish Gartley may be difficult to execute, the conditions of the RSI BAMM
can indicate the validity of the opportunity. IBM exhibited all of the
essential requirements necessary to establish the RSI BAMM setup. In
combination with a distinct Bullish Gartley, this was an ideal combination of
both approaches that defined a critical turning point in the price action.
IBM (IBM): WEEKLY
BULLISH GARTLEY
POTENTIAL REVERSAL ZONE (PRZ) AT RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
The
coordination of these approaches can be seen even more clearly on the enlarged
chart of the PRZ at the RSI BAMM Completion Point shown in Figure 6.31.
FIGURE 6.31
Retracement
patterns like the Bullish Gartley can be more difficult to execute. However,
the coordination of both approaches serves to filter the best opportunities and
to optimize trading decisions.
BULLISH 5-0 PATTERN
COMPLETION AT RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
The
Bullish 5-0 is probably the most difficult pattern to incorporate with the RSI
BAMM. This is due simply to the fact that the completion of the pattern occurs
nowhere near the minimum 1.13 RSI BAMM extension (see Figure 6.32). As is the case with all harmonic patterns in the
RSI BAMM setup, coordination of both approaches is still the key.
FIGURE 6.32
As
is the case of the Bullish Gartley, the 5-0 pattern requires a distinct
structure that must complete in tandem with the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point. It
is important to focus on the completion of the impulsive RSI retest, as this
will typically be a significant signal within the PRZ of the pattern.
BRITISH POUND
(GBP_A0-FX): 5-MINUTE
BULLISH 5-0 AT RSI
BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
The
Pound formed a Bullish 5-0 pattern on this intra-day chart that completed at
the Confirmation Point of a distinct RSI BAMM (see Figure 6.33). Although the 5-0 pattern may have seemed of
little consequence after the price action declined sharply into the PRZ, the
completion of the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point pinpointed the support and marked
a critical short-term low.
FIGURE 6.33
BRITISH POUND
(GBP_A0-FX): 5-MINUTE BULLISH 5-0 POTENTIAL REVERSAL ZONE (PRZ) AT RSI BAMM
CONFIRMATION POINT
The
chart of the PRZ of the 5-0 pattern in Figure
6.34 shows how the price action stabilized and reversed immediately after testing
the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point. The impulsive RSI retest was the ultimate
trigger, as the price action rallied sharply after the indicator bounced from
the 30 level.
FIGURE 6.34
When
incorporating the 1.13 RSI BAMM extension with harmonic pattern completions,
the key to successful trade executions is coordinating these two technical
events to optimize trading decisions and to filter the best opportunities. In
the example of the Pound, the price action provided early clues of a valid
reversal as the price action held immediately after testing the entire PRZ.
After covering all possible patterns that involve the 1.13 RSI BAMM
Confirmation Point, it’s now time to cover all possible patterns within the
context of the 1.618 extension.
1.618 EXTENSION AT
RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
In
the Bullish RSI BAMM, the general rule for the Confirmation Point extension
must focus on the location of the Trigger Bar, as it relates to the extreme
prior low (see Figure 6.35). If the
Bullish RSI BAMM Trigger Bar IS the extreme low, the 1.618 extension is
utilized to quantify the Confirmation Point and the execution area for the
trade.
FIGURE 6.35
Although
other factors will be considered, the importance of the extreme low to signal a
1.618 RSI BAMM extension helps to define the ultimate execution point for the
trade. Two patterns—the Bullish Crab and the Deep Bullish Crab—utilize the
1.618 extension. Regardless of which Crab defines the PRZ, the crucial
technical event occurs when the price action tests this area at the same time
it completes the RSI BAMM Confirmation Bar.
EXTREME RSI BAMM
TRIGGER BAR SIGNALS A 1.618 EXTENSION: BULLISH CRAB
When
the RSI BAMM Trigger Bar is the extreme low, the corresponding retest and the
Confirmation Point will occur at the 1.618 extension (see Figure 6.36). In combination with a distinct bullish pattern
such as the Crab, the 1.618 projection represents an immensely critical
harmonic support point.
FIGURE 6.36
Although
these situations can be difficult to distinguish, distinct pattern formations
in the final phase of the RSI BAMM provide significant indication of the
validity of the opportunity and act as a confirmation signal for the setup. Due
to the extended nature of the 1.618 extension, the Bullish Crab will frequently
possess volatile price action that can reverse sharply after testing the entire
PRZ.
COCA-COLA (KO):
DAILY
BULLISH CRAB AT RSI
BAMM COMPLETION POINT
In
the example in Figure 6.37,
Coca-Cola formed a distinct Bullish Crab that possessed an ideal RSI BAMM
setup. The pattern started to form after the complex RSI structure was
completed. After the initial bounce and retest to the RSI midpoint 50 level,
the stock consolidated and eventually declined lower while forming a distinct
pattern.
FIGUE 6.37
Although
the RSI Confirmation Point experienced a deeper retest than is typical, the
impulsive reading did not exceed the lowest point of the complex indicator
formation. Furthermore, the PRZ accurately defined the precise area that
comprised less than a 1-point range for the execution of the long position.
COCA-COLA (KO):
DAILY
BULLISH CRAB
POTENTIAL REVERSAL ZONE (PRZ) AT RSI BAMM COMPLETION POINT
The
enlarged chart in Figure 6.38 of the
PRZ at the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point shows an ideal situation where the
completion of the pattern and the impulsive indicator retest combined to mark a
critical turning point on this daily chart.
FIGUE 6.38
It
is important to note that the stock did not reverse until the entire PRZ of the
Bullish Crab was tested. Again, this is where the coordination of the RSI BAMM
Confirmation Point at the completion of the pattern is tremendously
advantageous in optimizing trade decisions and in defining the best area to
execute the trade. In the case of Coke, the 1.618 extension required a few more
weeks until the execution signal was triggered.
DEEP BULLISH CRAB
AT RSI BAMM COMPLETION POINT
In
the same manner as the Bullish Crab, the Deep Bullish Crab employs a 1.618
extension at the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point (see Figure 6.39). Again, the RSI BAMM Trigger Bar must be the
extreme low of the pattern.
FIGUE 6.39
In
my opinion, the Bullish Crab is the most prevalent pattern that forms with the
1.618 RSI BAMM Confirmation Point. Although many Deep Bullish Crabs present
excellent opportunities, they don’t seem to materialize as frequently as the
regular version.
JAPANESE YEN
(JPY_A0-FX): 60-MINUTE
DEEP BULLISH CRAB
AT RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
The
60-minute chart of the Yen in Figure
6.40 shows an excellent intra-day RSI BAMM setup. When applying the RSI
BAMM to intra-day trading situations, the 15-minute or 60-minute intervals seem
to produce the best results, but it is important to remember that these are
still short-term day trades.
FIGUE 6.40
Although
RSI BAMM setups that materialize on daily and weekly charts usually possess
more significant reversal zones, these typically take longer to complete. But I
thought it was important to show an example of a day trading situation.
JAPANESE YEN
(JPY_A0-FX): 60-MINUTE
DEEP BULLISH CRAB
POTENTIAL REVERSAL ZONE (PRZ) AT RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT
In
the Yen example shown in Figure 6.41,
the stock formed a Deep Bullish Crab that reversed exactly at the 1.618
extension. The completion of the pattern occurred simultaneously with the RSI
BAMM Confirmation Point.
FIGUE 6.41
It
is important to note that the coordination between the RSI BAMM Confirmation
Point and the pattern’s completion should occur closer to each other in
shorter-term day trading type situations. Although longer-term setups such as a
60-minute or a daily opportunity may require more time for the entire scenario
to complete, 1-minute and 3-minute opportunities should exhibit more precise
price action and reverse closer in proximity to each other. In essence,
short-term trading situations require stricter application of the rules and
allow less room for variation.
RSI BAMM
CONFIRMATION POINT—REVERSAL ACCELERATION TRIGGER
There
is an additional technical trigger that serves as secondary confirmation of a
valid reversal. Although this final trigger does not develop in every
situation, when this additional structural formation develops in the RSI
reading at the final test of the Confirmation Point, it typically represents an
area of acceleration of the reversal.
BULLISH
CONFIRMATION POINT—REVERSAL ACCELERATION TRIGGER
The
most important aspect of the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point is that both the
indicator structure and the price action must demonstrate a decisive
continuation of the reversal trend (see
Figure 6.42). In many cases following the completion of the RSI BAMM
Confirmation Point, the indicator structure will form a specific W-type
formation above the oversold 30 level. This structure serves as a technical
acceleration point that frequently marks the beginning of a decisive new price
move.
FIGUE 6.42
This
magnified illustration of the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point clearly shows the
ideal indicator structure that serves as a penultimate technical level for the
entire setup. It is important to note that the Acceleration Trigger of the
additional RSI structure is an immediate signal for the reversal. Sometimes,
the initial pullback following a reversal from the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point
may only be one or two price bars after the indicator structure rallies back
above the 30 level. Despite the pause in the price action, the internal
dynamics of the RSI typically gain strength at this point and signal a quick
acceleration of the new trend.
Although
waiting for this extra RSI signal to execute a trade may result in paying a
slightly higher price, the Acceleration Trigger does provide a reliable sign of
a valid reversal at hand. Furthermore, waiting for this breakout trigger
prevents executions at invalid RSI BAMM Confirmation Points, where the
impulsive test at the 30 level flounders and does not provide decisive reversal
continuation. In these cases, it is important to act appropriately and to exit
the trade at a small loss or break even due to the fact that the price action
languishes after completing the RSI BAMM Acceleration Trigger. Essentially, the
price action should move quickly and decidedly after the final acceleration is
triggered. The price bar that completes the breakout of the W-type structure
above the oversold 30 level in the RSI indicator reading will typically mark
the acceleration point of the new reversal trend.
When
this last trigger materializes, it definitely creates a “do-or-die” situation.
After satisfying all conditions of the RSI BAMM and successfully reversing from
the impulse test at the Confirmation Point, this last little caveat of the
indicator reading possesses powerful price action implications. In fact, this
last confirmation trigger within the final phase of the RSI BAMM represents the
most precise technical setup within the entire Harmonic Trading approach. In no
other technical situation of this entire methodology does the “do-or-die”
scenario dictate an immediate reaction in the price action. Hence, the
Acceleration Trigger represents the realization of a gamut of technical
conditions to generate a valid trade signal.
The
combination of these measurement techniques of harmonic patterns and the
ability of the RSI BAMM to define divergent areas of price action represent the
most complex system of technical conditions within the Harmonic Trading
approach.
The
final phase of the RSI BAMM represents a powerful technical measuring technique
in its own right (see Figure 6.43).
When harmonic patterns converge at the Confirmation Point of the RSI BAMM, the
technical information garnered from this approach serves as an immensely accurate
consensus reading to validate the setup.
FIGUE 6.43
IBM (IBM): WEEKLY BULLISH GARTLEY
POTENTIAL REVERSAL ZONE (PRZ) AT RSI BAMM CONFIRMATION POINT WITH ACCELERATION
TRIGGER
Referring
back to the example of IBM, the stock rallied after testing the entire PRZ at
the RSI BAMM Completion Point. The second arrow from the left points to the
price bar that marked the acceleration point in the reversal (see Figure 6.44).
FIGUE 6.44
The
interesting aspect of this situation is that the Acceleration Point signaled a
valid long position while the stock was still trading within its PRZ. In this
case, the additional confirmation of the Acceleration Point triggered the trade
before the reversal began in earnest. Although waiting for the Acceleration
Point to develop may result in delayed trade executions, these are very
effective signals in most valid reversals.
BULLISH RSI BAMM
VIOLATIONS AND STOP LOSS CONSIDERATIONS
After
defining the entire range of the RSI BAMM Confirmation Point extension and
harmonic pattern completion points, the only consideration beyond the execution
is the stop loss limit. Again, the stop loss determination will also include
the price levels that are defined by the larger harmonic patterns included in
the trading setup. However, from a pure RSI BAMM perspective, the key
validation truly occurs beyond the Completion Point extension. The stop loss is
typically a combination of the price limit established by the RSI BAMM
extension and the specific pattern completion that occurs in the same area as
the Confirmation Point.
RSI
BAMM violations involve two factors that determine the validity of the setup.
First, the RSI BAMM extension—whether it is a 1.13 or a 1.618—is the primary
technical level that dictates the validity of the setup. Although it is
important to differentiate between whether the RSI BAMM utilizes a 1.13 or a
1.618 extension, the validation of the technical phenomenon becomes
questionable beyond the 2.00 extension of the final move for either situation.
But, the price action at the RSI BAMM extension at the Completion Point should
be quite precise, as valid reversals usually do not exceed these areas by much.
As a general rule, the 1.13 extension typically employs the area beyond the
1.618 to define its stop loss zone. In comparison, those situations that
trigger a 1.618 extension will typically define the area beyond the 2.0 as a
violation of the setup.
As
is the case for harmonic pattern failures, price action that violates these
price levels, especially on the first test, should raise a red flag that the
primary trend is quite strong. Most important, the area defined by the RSI BAMM
is truly a “do or die” price level that does not leave much room for discretion.
I discussed pattern violations thoroughly in Harmonic Trading: Volume One.
Although I will not review those strategies in detail in this book, the essence
of pattern violations is usually witnessed after the price action has tested
the entire PRZ.
The
tandem violation of the relative RSI BAMM extension and the pattern’s PRZ is a
definite signal that the setup has failed. However, there are many instances
where violations will offer warnings in the form of strong price action that
provide early signs of an impending failure at hand. In many cases, the price
action will violate a bullish PRZ that is in the upper range of the entire
harmonic support area, signaling the violation even before the RSI BAMM
extension is tested. Again, the preferred situation in most violations is price
action that declines sharply through the combined harmonic area of both the
relative RSI BAMM extension and the pattern’s PRZ.
STANDARD &
POOR’S 500 MARCH 2010 MINI-CONTRACT (ES_H0): 15-MINUTE
BULLISH CRAB AND
BULLISH RSI BAMM FAILURE
The
Standard & Poor’s 500 March 2010 Mini-Contract formed this distinct RSI
BAMM on the 15-minute chart (see Figure
6.45). The RSI BAMM Trigger Bar was the initial low, which established a
projected 1.618 extension at the Confirmation Point.
FIGUE 6.45
Although
the RSI structure was exemplary, the price action failed to stabilize at this
harmonic support. The breakdown in this area was overwhelming and the distinct
Bullish Crab reinforced the importance of the 1.618 extension as the defining
level in this setup.
STANDARD &
POOR’S 500 MARCH 2010 MINI-CONTRACT (ES_H0): 15-MINUTE
BULLISH CRAB AND
BULLISH RSI BAMM FAILURE
The
enlarged chart in Figure 6.46
clearly shows the violation of the pattern’s PRZ and the RSI BAMM extension.
The price action hit all the numbers on the initial test of the PRZ but quickly
continued lower, sinking below the 1.618 extension.
FIGUE 6.46
The intra-day price action
clearly violated the pattern’s PRZ. This should have served as a severe warning
sign well before the 1.618 RSI BAMM extension was violated. This example
clearly demonstrated a failed RSI BAMM setup. The critical aspect, as is the
case with most violations, is the inability of the price action to stabilize on
the secondary test of the indicator at the completion point of the pattern
despite a clear prior complex RSI structure.