Elliott & apos;
Guidelines
Elliott
also noted some guidelines that he would not count as rules but noticed a high
ratio of instances where these factors occurred. They are helpful hints in
outlining high-probability outcomes in certain circumstances, ones I have found
exceptionally useful in my own analysis and which indeed blend in well with my
own views on price structure.
Alternation
Elliott
noticed a strong tendency for corrective waves within an impulsive structure to
alternate in terms of depth and complexity. I shall cover corrective waves
briefly at this point.
If
Wave 2 develops in a simple manner (an ABC Zigzag move) then Wave 4 will tend
to be complex (Triangle, Flat, Expanded Flat, or Triple Three). If Wave 2
develops in a complex manner then Wave 4 tends to be a simple ABC move.
In
addition, alternation covers the depth of the retracements in Waves 2 and 4. If
Wave 2 was shallow then Wave 4 will be deep, and vice versa (as shown in Figure
1.14).
Figure 1.14 Deep Wave (2) and Shallow
Wave (4) Demonstrating Alternation in Five-Minute GBPUSD
In
this example of a five-wave decline in the five-minute GBPUSD chart, Wave (2)
retraced Wave (1) by 74.8%. Conversely, Wave (4) retraced only 18.4% before
seeing a Diagonal Triangle decline in Wave (5).
B Waves
The
second guideline Elliott noticed was that after the completion of a three- wave
move there is a tendency for price to reverse to the area of the preceding Wave
B (as shown in Figure 1.15). This may prove temporary or a long period
depending on which part of the wave structure it occurred in.
Figure
1.15 Following
the Completion of an ABC Move Lower Price Retraces to the Prior Wave (B)
This
chart is one such example of an event that occurs so frequently that it
provides an excellent first target in a retracement.