Extended
Impulsive Waves
Elliott
also noted that impulsive waves had an occasional tendency to extend; he
observed that there was more than a single set of impulsive waves in a trend (see Figure 1.5).
This
is a simple concept, noting that the five waves constructing Wave (3) are made
up of five waves of the same degree. This can perhaps be best described as
saying that if this is a daily chart, then the five waves in Wave (3) are also
visible and measurable in the daily chart rather than, say, the hourly chart.
Of course, the impulsive waves 1, 3, and 5 will be composed of five waves
themselves.
In
addition to this, Elliott found that there were cases of multiple extensions
(as shown in Figure 1.6).
Figure 1.6: A Double
Extended Impulsive Wave
Extended
waves may occur in any of the three impulsive waves, but most commonly in a
third-wave position which Elliott observed was generally the wave with the
strongest risk of a powerful trending extension. Considering the often seen
reversal which tends to begin with the market believing that another correction
is developing thus adding to positions in favor of the prior trend it makes
sense that the third wave is more often than not the stronger move as it begins
with positions being unwound and fresh positions in the opposite direction
being established.
Figure
1.7 displays an extended wave in the Wave (3) position.
Figure 1.7 An Extended Wave in Daily USDCHF
There
is always the question of when should we know when an extended wave is likely
to occur. Sometimes it springs upon us quite suddenly and we are left
scrambling to understand what is happening. I have always suggested that if
there is any time where we may anticipate such a move then it must be that
perhaps the final stalling area is one that can be determined from an extension
of the prior wave structure. Perhaps we are looking at a five-wave move in Wave
(C), and this has projections in a wave equality move around the end of Wave
(5).
Later
on I shall highlight why I now feel this is unlikely.