BULLISH ENGULFING
PATTERNS
Let’s
review. The bullish engulfing pattern is a reversal pattern formed in
downtrending stocks and often signals a short term reversal or bounce in the
stock price. The first candlestick in this two day pattern has a black body,
indicating the bearish downtrend is still intact. Black bodies indicate the
stock closed down for the day. The second candlestick has a white body
extending below the first day’s body, indicating the stock gapped down at the
open. The lower end of a black body is the day’s closing price and the lower
end of a white body is the day’s opening price. Thus, when the second day’s
white body engulfs or covers the first day’s black body, the price gaps down in
the morning, indicating more bearishness. It then reverses to close above the
previous day’s opening, indicating a reversal in sentiment for the second day.
This often continues in the short term.
Figure 2.1 shows a bullish engulfing
candlestick pattern that developed in CYBX on 05/19/06. CYBX had been in a
three-week downtrend, which fulfills the first requirement for the pattern. The
first day of this two day pattern was the black-bodied candlestick on 05/18/06.
The black body indicated a down day for CYBX, which was a continuation of the current
downtrend. The next day was a white-bodied candlestick (marked by the up arrow) in which
both the upper and lower ends of the candlestick body overlap or engulf the
body of the previous day’s candlestick.
FIGURE 2.1: CYBX BULLISH ENGULFING PATTERN OF
5/19/06
The
bullish engulfing pattern marked the end of the downtrend for CYBX and, during
the next five trading sessions, it ran up nearly 30%. A 30% profit in a few
days helps keep food on the table, but traders need to know more than just
whether a pattern has worked. They need to know how reliable it is—how often it
works.
Figure 2.2 shows a bullish engulfing pattern
that occurred in GHL during a three-week downtrend. The pattern occurred on
06/01/06 and is marked by an up arrow in Figure
2.2. If a trader had entered a long position the day after the bullish
engulfing pattern formed, he or she would have seen a 10 point loss during the
next six sessions.
FIGURE 2.2: GHL BULLISH ENGULFING PATTERN OF
6/01/06
If
trading patterns worked all the time, trading would be easy and everyone would
be doing it. We have all seen marketing pieces promising secret knowledge of a
super trading system that offers 1,000% returns. The truth is there are no trading
systems producing a reasonable number of trades that win all the time in the
long run. One of the tricks to trading is to have a variety of trading patterns
that work most of the time and to know how to select the best patterns for the
current market conditions. Candlestick patterns provide a number of
opportunities along these lines.
Definition
is the first step in unlocking the secrets of trading bullish engulfing
patterns; let’s review the bullish engulfing pattern.
BULLISH ENGULFING PATTERN-STANDARD DEFINITION
- The stock must be in a downtrend.
- The first day of the pattern must
be a black body candlestick.
- The second day of the pattern
must be a white body candlestick.
- The second day’s open must be
less than the first day’s close.
- The second day’s close must be
greater than the first day’s close.