FINAL RESULTS—HOW
TO TRADE THE BEARISH ENGULFING
After
examining thousands of bearish engulfing patterns in different market
conditions and using various filters, the test results presented here indicate
that the results of the bearish engulfing pattern may be improved by: using it
in downtrending or bearish markets, using a three to five day holding period,
using it on higher-priced stocks, looking for volume on the second day of the
pattern that is larger that the volume on the first day of the pattern, and
taking patterns when the top of the second day’s body is at least 15% of the
day’s range above the top of the first day’s body.
The
test results also indicate that results may be diminished using the bearish
engulfing pattern in the following conditions: when the NASDAQ is uptrending or
bullish, holding positions more than six days, patterns with above average
volume on the second day, when the first day of the pattern is a recent high,
patterns where the bottom of the second day’s body is more than 15% below the
bottom of the first day’s body.
The
improved Bearish Engulfing pattern requirements are:
- The stock must be in
an uptrend.
- The NASDAQ must be in
a downtrend.
- The first day of the
pattern shows a white body.
- The second day of the
pattern shows a black body that overlaps the first day’s body.
- The second day volume
is at least 30% above the first day’s volume.