Basics of Stochastics and Formula

Stochastic oscillator, Divergence, Moving averages, Trading range, Trendlines, Support/resistance levels

Course: [ PROFITABLE CANDLESTICK TRADING : Chapter 2: The Reversal Patterns ]

The Stochastic oscillator is a technical analysis indicator that measures the momentum of price movements. It uses a scale to measure the price movements of an asset in a given time period. The Stochastic oscillator is useful for identifying overbought and oversold conditions in the market.

STOCHASTICS

Before going into the description of the signals, an explanation of stochastics is in order. The effectiveness of Candlestick signals is greatly enhanced when buy signals occur in oversold situations and sell signals appear in over-bought situations. The best indicators for establishing overbought and oversold criteria are the stochastics. Stochastics were developed many years ago by George Lane. They are oscillators that measure the relative position of the closing price compared to the daily trading range. Simply stated, where is the close relative to the range of prices over the last x trading periods?

Stochastics are a function of some simple observations. Closing prices have a tendency to close near the higher end of a daily trading range as an uptrend gains strength. Conversely, closing prices close near the lower end of a daily trading range as a decline picks up strength. At market turns, for example, when a trend is about to reverse, going from up to down, the daily highs get higher but the closing price settles near the lower end of the day's trading range. This makes stochastics unique from most oscillators. Most oscillators are normalized representations of relative strength, the difference between the close and the current trend.

As will be explained later, %D is calculated by applying a simple three-day moving average of the %K. Stochastics, as a straight trading indicator, are most effective when %D and %K cross, preferably in the extreme areas on a grid of 0 to 100 (overbought is 80 or higher, oversold is 20 or lower). However, when used in combination with the Candlestick signals, the signal will be viable when the stochastics are in the extreme ranges. %D and %K crossing is more effective, but the signal itself pinpoints when the turn has occurred.

Stochastics Formula

%K is considered the RAW stochastic or the FAST stochastic. It is the more sensitive between the two, %K and %D. The %K formula is

                     

Close = current price

Low of P = low of the range during the period used High of P = high of the range during the period being used



PROFITABLE CANDLESTICK TRADING : Chapter 2: The Reversal Patterns : Tag: Candlestick Pattern Trading, Forex : Stochastic oscillator, Divergence, Moving averages, Trading range, Trendlines, Support/resistance levels - Basics of Stochastics and Formula