Becoming
a Profitable Candlestick Investor
Most
investors do not have an investment plan. This is simple to confirm. Ask
friends and associates how they find their investment picks. The answers will
range across the board: a tip from a friend of a friend, an article about a
company in a magazine, a news clip about a firm or product on CNBC, the number
one stock pick from an investment newsletter. On top of it all, it is usually a
combination of these and many other mishmash approaches. The performance is
inconsistent. To make matters worse, if the performance is decent, there
usually is no way to measure the successful sources. This book will provide you
with strategies that will dramatically increase your investment returns. You
will be exposed to techniques that teach you how to remember and utilize the
signals, quickly.
The
descriptions of the signals in this book will be provided in a "condensed" version. Again,
the point is to educate you in an efficient, yet expeditious manner. There are
other books on the market that will be recommended for your full learning
process. Those books will be more descriptive in how the signals were named and
the psychology behind their formation. The primary value of this book to you is
learning how to produce consistent profits from the signals.
This
book is divided into two sections. The first section is oriented towards
- Learning the signals.
- Evaluating the most
profitable trades quickly.
- Learning what
confirming indicators are the most effective.
The
implementation of this information will be used to eliminate "false signals." Search
results will be quantified for harvesting the trades with the greatest potential.
The
second section focuses on how to maximize profits. This includes trading
strategies that minimize the downside risk. You will learn how to close out
losing trades with minimal loses and no emotional attachment. At the same time,
profit maximization procedures and philosophies will be demonstrated when
closing out profitable trades.
Creating
Maximum Trade Probabilities
The
Candlestick methodology focuses on the investor's main objective: How do I
maximize profitability? There are always rationalizations that move away from
this vital outlook. Common investment counseling states, "Long term
investing is the only way to make good returns: you can't time the
market." Or, "Find a strong fundamentally sound company and it will
grow." These reasons are heard all the time. But that is usually the
advice for a person who doesn't want to or can't focus on maximizing the
returns with the minimum of risk—the point of investing.
Whether
one is managing money for others or whether they are managing their own funds,
the same basic question should arise each time an investment decision is
required: "Is this the best possible place for my investment funds to
maximize returns, based upon my risk tolerances?" The use of the
Candlestick method keeps the investor focused on that question. The cultivation
process is directed to finding the best place for investment funds. This
step-by-step procedure (explained in Chapter 9) builds in a self-directing
discipline for maintaining profit maximization.
To
enhance those probabilities, you will have the benefit of reading about subtle
signal variations that will keep you from losing money. You will be exposed to
common mistakes that can be avoided when producing a profit maximization
program. This book introduces you to software programs with excellent search
capabilities. You will be exposed to search formulas that produce highly
profitable trade situations in a matter of minutes. Step- by-step trade
implementation procedures describe how to place all the probabilities in your favor.
This is a powerful, common sense trading process that the signals create for
the candlestick-educated investor. Not only does Candlestick analysis provide a
mechanical investment game plan, it produces a blueprint for establishing a
non-emotional investment procedure.
Fundamental
Analysis Versus Technical Analysis
Fundamental
analysis influences 90 percent of all investment decisions. For the long-term
investor, it is the reasonable basis for committing long-term funds. Yet, is it
the way to maximize returns? Consider what is involved when analyzing the
future potential of a stock price. Projecting the future of a company's
capabilities has hundreds of different variables. Is the management capable? Is
the product line sustainable? What are their competitors doing? How are
government regulations affecting this industry? Any one of many fundamental
elements can change at any time, creating a reversal in the growth potential of
a company.
Most
financial "experts" advise buying the good quality company and
hanging on to it for the long term. The stock market has averaged approximately
an 11 percent return annually over the course of history. These statistics have
been skewed during the past four years. Until 1997, the market never had more
than two years in a row of double-digit growth. Most investors today have not
experienced a severe bear market. A bear market does not give a hoot about
fundamentals. When the market tide goes down, all corporate ships are lowered.
Conversely, the worst stocks in the world can get a boost when the markets are
skyrocketing.
Ultimate
Criteria for the Optimal Trading Program
- Proven and tested
results.
- Easy to identify
reversal indicators.
- Elimination of
emotional decision-making aspects.
Using
any trading discipline will produce greater returns than the normal
non-structured investment approach. Using the Candlestick signals, however,
will produce a greater profit-potential investment strategy than you can
imagine. Hundreds of years of honing the visual identification process the
initial form of statistical analysis provide a well-founded investment
stratagem. You can reasonably assume that the percentage of positive results
from Candlestick signals is significantly worthwhile. Otherwise, those signals
would not be in existence today.
Additionally,
it is extremely useful to implement a trading strategy that can be documented
and analyzed. Each new trade provides an analytical tool. What went right with
this trade? What went wrong with this trade? The post trade results can be compared
to existing results produced by similar signal formations. An investor should
be able to evaluate each trade in order to better the results of the next
trade. Being able to identify the potential of a high- probability trade, days
ahead of the other market participants, has obvious advantages. The downside
risk is reduced. The signals alert you to the first change in investor
sentiment. You get into and out of positions before the masses. Upside
potential is enhanced, exploiting the next round of buying by the investment
analysts.
"Why
isn't everybody using Candlesticks?" You will be asking that same question
when you finish this book. Candlesticks provide all of the elements needed for
successful investing:
- They identify where
the buying or selling is occurring.
- They are accurate
enough to still be in use 400 years after their beginning.
- They eliminate
emotion and instill discipline.
- They enhance existing
technical methods.
- They tell you when to
get into and out of a trade.
Once
you finish this book, your mental investment procedures will be radically
altered. Mastery of the Candlestick technique will provide the mindset of a
successful professional investor. You will also gain valuable insights into
human nature. You will be able to cash in on low-risk, high- potential
opportunities overlooked by the common investor. The inherent nature of the
signals instills common sense disciplines. You are about to be exposed to the
most refined signal generating system in all of financial history. Hundreds of
years of observation have produced results with a system that has thrived
through the centuries.
Are
you tired of settling for mediocre returns? Does the rationale of losing less
than what the indexes lost not impress you anymore? Do recommendations from
major Wall Street brokerage firms appear to have lukewarm potential by the time
they are presented to you? Why settle for watered down investment programs when
you can pinpoint exact bottoms and tops? Why forego profit potential that can
be extracted from the markets directly into your pocket? The effort required to
master the Candlestick technique is minimal when going about it in a structured
manner. Practical insights derived from the visual aspects of the signals will
point out the real profit potential of investing.
The
following chapters explain the formations, the psychology behind the
formations, and give illustrations of the signals. Read these sections at your
own pace. It is not necessary to remember each signal and the psychology behind
it to a high degree. Learning how the signal is created aids in remembering the
signal, but it is not required for making profits. Of the 40 or so signals,
there are approximately ten major signals. Become familiar with what the
signals look like. Later chapters outline the process for learning the signals
easily and rapidly.