INTRODUCTION
“The learning of
books, that you do not make your own wisdom, is money in the hands of another
in time of need.”
Japanese
Candlestick analysis is a highly effective, but under-used investment
decision-making technique. Most people in the United States' investment
community are aware of Candlestick analysis, but few understand how or why it
actually works. Candlestick charts reveal many insights using well- recognized
Japanese candlestick formations, yet few people understand the ramifications or
significance of the signals that are clearly and reliably displayed.
This
book was written to educate investors on how to use the Japanese Candlestick
technique profitably. The easy-to-follow procedures detailed in this book
provide the reader with profit-making techniques that can be learned quickly.
More importantly, learning the principles of market psychology underlying the
Candlestick methodology will revolutionize the reader's overall investment
psyche forever. While this may sound bold and far-fetched, fortunes have been
made using the Japanese Candlestick techniques. Knowing how to use the
candlesticks and why they work will immediately improve the reader's investment
profitability and permanently alter overall investment perceptions. This newly
acquired perception will produce consistent profits along with an associated
mental re-programming designed to maximize investment returns. Once an investor
becomes convinced of the reliability of the Candlestick methodology, that
investor also acquires a pre-programmed investment discipline. As a result,
Candlesticks add a whole new dimension to enhancing the investor's
profit-making abilities.
Most
readers will be surprised at how the knowledge gained from a close reading of
this book dramatically enhances investment abilities across all investment
vehicles and over all trading timeframes. More than 400 years of refined
reversal-identification and trend continuity projection is now at the reader's
disposal. Mastering the candlestick methodology will be the next major step for
maximizing investment returns.
Why
aren't the Candlestick signals used more? Why, if the signals demonstrate such
a high degree of accuracy, are there not many more investors, whether
institutional or individual, using these signals? The answer is that the
Candlestick technique in the past has been too labor intensive and required a
long and steep learning curve before the investor gained proficiency. This book
was written to provide the reader with an easy and fast training program to
circumvent those obstacles.
The
Benefits from the Candlestick System
Japanese
Candlestick signals possess one major attribute that is not present in other
technical systems: The signals are created by the change in investor sentiment.
This point is the crux of the success of Candlestick analysis. Again, to
emphasize the importance of what you have just read: The signals are created by
the change in investor sentiment. Understanding this truism will make it easier
to acclimate your investment psychology to this successful trading discipline.
The
secrets of the effectiveness of the signals can be learned in a fast and easy
process. An investor does not need to be knowledgeable about technical charting
to take immediate advantage of the signals. The graphical formation of a signal
makes reversals immediately visible. A Candlestick formation provides a visual
graphic of investor psychology during a specific time period. For the purpose
of illustration in this book, the standard timeframe is one day, and the
trading entity is stock-equity as opposed to commodity. Investment strategies
can be structured, of course, for whatever time period is suited for your
trading style: minute-to-minute or monthly. Applicable trading instruments
include any vehicle that has the key elements of investor fear and greed.
The
graphics of a Candlestick chart have greater appeal than Western charts
(commonly known as bar charts). The amount of data displayed is exactly the
same, but the ease of visual interpretation is dramatically different. The
immediate representative depiction of price movement as the result of investor
sentiment is visually in front of you. Recognizing the change in investor
sentiment is made easier when the graphics are clear and easy to understand.
Once
you become accustomed to the Candlestick charts, all other charting will seem
diminished in terms of effectiveness. That is not to say that other charting
techniques cannot be used as "alert" functions. Candlestick signals,
incorporated with other types of charts, fine-tune the reversal identification
process. Watch your profits soar by simply combining Candlesticks with basic
technical charting methods.
Candlestick
Charts Versus Bar Charts
After
using the Candlestick charts, you will find that bar charts do not provide the
same clarity. Despite the fact that the exact same information is being
conveyed, the Candlestick charts, through greater visual appeal, provide
information that is more communicative than bar charts. Candlestick patterns
allow the investor to identify pertinent information in a relatively fast and
unencumbered manner.
Bar
Charts
A
vertical line, seen here in Figure 1.1, represents the daily price movement on
a bar chart. The top of the line is the high of the daily trading range; the
bottom is the low of the day. A notch to the right side of the line represents
the closing price. In more recent years, a notch has been added to the left
side of the line to designate the opening price. Opening prices have not been
as readily available in stock transactions until a few years back. Futures and
commodity charts have had access to this information for a longer period of
time.
Internet
charting services and software vendors provide a large number of additional
technical indicators along with the charts. Fortunately, we are living in a
time when software packages are constantly being developed to provide more and
more technical information. This is mentioned to illustrate the benefits of
technology that can be applied to better enhance the investor's evaluations.
Upon becoming accustomed to the Candlestick charts, an individual can fine-tune
the probabilities of successful trades many times greater than what the
capabilities would have been just a few short years ago.
Candlestick
Charts
Using
the same information provided in a bar chart, Japanese Candlestick charts provide
immensely more illustrative graphics. As in bar charts, the open, close, high,
and low are all that is required. Yet, the manner in which they are depicted
provides a great amount of information to the Candlestick analyst.
Forming
the Candlesticks
Horizontal
lines represent the open and the close. (See Figure 1.2.) Once both lines are
added to the chart, they are boxed. This box is called the BODY. If the close
is higher than the open, the body is white or empty. If the close is lower than
the open, the body is black or filled. Keep in mind, this does not necessarily
mean that a white body represents that the price was up for the day or that a
black body represents that the price was down for the day. The body color only
illustrates where the close was compared to the open.
The
contrasting colors of the bodies provide for rapid visual interpretations. A
declining column of dark candles interrupted by the appearance of a white
candle attracts the attention of the eye immediately. This is something that
would not occur when viewing conventional bar charts.
The
lines extending from the body represent the extremes of the price movement
during the day. These are known as the shadows. The shadow above the body is
known as the upper shadow. In some Japanese analytical circles, the upper
shadow is also described as the hair. The shadow below the body is known as the
lower shadow or the tail. The length of the shadows has important implications
to the strength of reversal moves.
The
bodies with shadows look much like candles—thus the name Candlesticks. But
don't let the unsophisticated name throw you. The information provided by the
formations puts the Candlestick analyst giant leaps ahead of other technical
analysts.
The
colors of the boxes are not important. For visual clarity, white and black
easily show contrast. Some computer software uses green for up and red for
down. The purpose of the chart is to provide a clear indication of what signals
are being formed.
Figures
1.3 and 1.4 are included for comparison purposes. Once you have become
accustomed to the candlestick charts, the visual aspects of the candlestick
charts will make all other charting techniques seem obsolete.
Contrasts
between the information conveyed by Figure 1.4 and that conveyed by Figure 1.3
will become dramatically apparent by the time you finish studying this book.