Trading Rules
“If you step in a puddle, do not blame the puddle.”
Having
the ability to identify reversal signals creates an extremely beneficial
dynamic for investors. Once an investor becomes comfortable that the signals
represent a high-probability situation, investment trading rules can be better
followed. The elimination of emotions, especially fear and greed, should be the
prime goal for investors.
The
biggest failure factor for most investors is the emotion element. Investment
trades become skewed with investors “hopes” versus what indicators are telling.
Every time an investor puts on a position or takes off a position, a mental
decision process has been made. Our mental decision process! Our egos come into
play. Of course, we are all smarter than the rest of the world. That is what we
all like to believe. To confirm that, our mental prowess becomes quantified every
time an investment decision is made.
To buy a
stock and watch it go down not only hurts the pocketbook but also hurts the
ego. We cannot be smart in somebody else’s eyes if our investment decision was
wrong. When we are right, and get into a position of big profits, our sell
parameters become fluid. What was our original selling strategy now gets
modified by the euphoric rhetoric that may be surrounding the circumstances.
The “sell” decision now becomes based upon other people’s opinion or a few more
points higher will allow us to buy a better car, new set of golf clubs, pay for
next quarter’s tuition, or anything else that has absolutely nothing to do with
what the price should do.
The
candlestick signals produce a high-probability format for when it is time to
buy and when it is time to sell. Utilizing that format creates a self-imposed
discipline. Why trade against the probabilities? As we are often told by the
professionals, you cannot time the markets. However, as can be clearly seen,
the Japanese Rice traders have successfully timed the markets for centuries.
The ability to see high-probability potential reversals in market trends allows
an investor to apply simple trading rules.
The
following list of rules has been derived from many years of investing
experience from numerous sources. It will also incorporate rules specifically
applied to the use of candlestick signals. Since investing has become a more
active part of people’s lives, general investing rules are also included in
this chapter. The mental state of an investor, as well as mechanically imposed
disciplines, is important to successful investing.
Incorporate Good
Investment Procedures
Just like
any profitable endeavor, investing requires a structured business plan.
Successful money managers establish a set of business disciplines. Money allocation,
trading environment, consistent evaluation processes, and clear and concise
planning are all required to maintain a good mental analytical process. The
analysis of candlestick signals and patterns, although a primary element of a
successful investment program, still requires a business atmosphere for successful
implementation. The trading area should be organized, whether at a business
office, a home office, or a laptop on the back deck overlooking tire lake. Having
one’s mind clear of distractions allows for better evaluation of tire
investment signals and patterns.
Document Winning and Losing Trades
A
well-maintained accounting of transactions and writing the results of good and
bad trades in a journal is a good investment habit. Having a journal of what
the thought processes were during a good or bad trade situation frees an
investor’s mental energy for analysis versus trying to remember previous trade
occurrences. The mind is a very nebulous entity. Important factors that should
be remembered can often slip away through time or be lost when trying to
analyze massive amounts of information. Having a documented journal of past
trades allows an investor to refresh their memory on what worked or did not
work in the past. Keep a journal at your workstation.