Maximizing Profits on Swing Trades
For
traders to increase their profitability, they must learn how to maximize the
profits on their trades—not through greed or fear, but through technique.
Sell the Opening Gap
A gap up
at the end of a swing is a warning. It is usually a last blast of buying just
before a pullback begins. Once price turns down after a several day advance,
there are no more buyers willing to pay the higher prices. Suddenly sellers
have to turn their sites downward io find buyers at lower prices. The stock
begins to collapse on the intraday time-frame. This is an unfortunate scenario
for inexperienced traders who bought at the swing high. They find themselves immediately
in a losing trade that continues to decline. The higher the volatility of the
stock, the more, and the faster, the pain will set in. They may end up exiting
during the decline, often just before price turns back up.
Skilled
swing traders know that the gap is a bonus at the end of a price move. It can
be looked at as a stern warning to take profits before a pullback begins.
A high
percentage of gaps that occur at the market open are filled within the same
trading day. This is true of gaps up or down. Often a trader can lock in
additional profits by immediately exiting an opening gap that forms at the end
of a price advance or decline. In some cases, the additional profits can be substantial,
for example, on a Dark Cloud Cover formation.
If the
stock is trading actively in pre-market and the spread is narrow enough, which
is likely if price is set to gap at the open, the stock can be exited before
the open. A limit order can be used to exit a trade in pre-market. Market
orders are held until the open—they will not be executed in pre-market or
after-hours trading.
If
waiting until the open to exit, traders can begin monitoring the price action
on a low intraday time-frame, such as a 5-minute chart. If price holds up in the
first few minutes, it may run in the opening direction for a short time after
the open. There is a good chance price will still reverse by approximately 30
minutes into the trading day. The first few minutes after the open, and again
near 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time, are strong reversal times.
Some
traders like a “stop and reverse”
strategy. They may exit the long position and go short, or vice versa on a gap
down. They may sell short on the high likelihood of the gap filling. Traders
should be cautious shorting against a strong uptrend. The pullback may be
short-lived if the stock is in favor with traders or belongs to a strong
sector. The stop and reverse method may be more profitable if the swing up was
quite significant, or if the swing up encountered resistance.