Gaps
A gap is
an empty space between two candlesticks where the price either rises or falls
from the previous candle close with no trading occurring in between.
They also
represent big supply and demand imbalances where either supply exceeds demand
or demand exceeds supply.
When
trading supply and demand, gaps are great indicators of market imbalance. In
general, levels with gaps are considered to be the strongest levels to trade
because they are high probability zones.
Price can gap up or gap down:
A gap up
is a gap that occurs when the lowest price of a candle is above the highest
level of the previous candle.
A gap
down occurs when the highest price of a candle is below the lowest price of the
previous candle.
Gaps are
common when a major economic event causes market fundamentals to change during
the weekends when the market is closed. They are usually found at the open of
the market on Sundays.
A gap is
considered closed or filled when the price comes back and fills the entire
range of the gap. Once price fills the gap, it reverts to the direction of the
prevailing trend.
To draw
your supply and demand zones with gaps, we always draw the proximal and the
distal lines at the origin of the gap and not after it.
Professional Gaps
A
professional gap is a gap that occurs in the opposite direction of the previous
trend. The professional gaps are formed at the beginning of the moves and
extended it.
On this
chart, we have a professional gap formed in the opposite direction of the
prevailing trend (uptrend). Price retraces back up to test the supply zone and
fills the gap to continue moving down.
This kind
of gap signals a continuation in the direction of the gap created by
professional traders.
Novice Gaps
A novice
gap is a gap that occurs in the direction of the prevailing trend. A novice gap
tends to form at the end of a move signaling a potential trend reversal.
The chart
below shows an example of a novice gap created at the end of an uptrend. Novice
traders use conventional technical analysis to trade breakouts using support
and resistance.
On this
chart, the gap happened right after the breakout of the resistance line. This
gives a bullish signal to buy at the breakout.
They are
buying high instead of buying low and they do it right at the supply zone where
professional traders are selling. Price tests the supply zone and the trend
reverses to the downside taking all their stops out.
As a rule
of thumb, when we have a novice gap, we trade against the novice traders.
It is
important to understand these two types of gaps when trading supply and demand
because when they happen, they give us an important piece of information as to
where the market is willing to go next.