Unlike investing in stocks, options have a time element involved. The infusion of a timeframe to an investment creates dramatically different dynamics. The time factor creates three crucial criterion: DIRECTION, TIME, and MAGNITUDE.
Option Trading Criteria
Unlike
investing in stocks, options have a time element involved. The infusion of a
timeframe to an investment creates dramatically different dynamics. The time
factor creates three crucial criterion: DIRECTION, TIME, and MAGNITUDE.
As has
been experienced through the centuries, most investors have difficulty in
mastering the direction of a price move. Implementing candlestick analysis
greatly increases the probabilities of analyzing price movement in the proper
direction. Knowing the direction of a trend’s move, with a relatively high
degree of probability, allows an investor to produce high-profit option strategies.
The
direction of a price move is only one key element to a successful option trade.
The amount of time available for that price to move is also an important
factor. The strategy for a trade will have a vast difference when considering a
trade that will expire in one week versus a trade that will expire in two
months.
Evaluating
what the candlestick signals are demonstrating makes establishing a very
short-term option trade much more feasible. Establishing longer-term option
trades can be implemented with more sophisticated risk/ reward strategies when
the direction is visualized with the signals. The fact that the candlestick
signals illustrate what investor sentiment is doing right NOW permits an
investor to incorporate the direction of a move for any time period.
Magnitude
is a third key element. Magnitude or volatility! Just because a price moves in
the correct direction does not guarantee that an option will make money. Bill
Johnson author of “An Investors Guide
to Understanding and Mastering Options Trading,” “The Single-Stock Futures
Revolution,” and “10 Biggest Mistakes in Option Trading”
provides valuable instructions for investors that want to master profitable
option trading strategies.
Option
trading usually implies high risk. Utilizing candlestick analysis can eliminate
a lot of the risk implication. The same analytical approach for putting all the
probabilities in your favor for a stock trade can easily be assembled into a
successful option trade. Stop-loss procedures can easily be incorporated. Evaluating
price movement with candlestick signals at potential targets provide improved
exit strategies.
Bill
Johnson’s 14 years of option trading background has helped with the creation of
many successful trading strategies. Applying that knowledge with candlestick
analysis makes for some high-probability, high-profit trade potentials while
utilizing commonsense risk management procedures.
The
following chapter, written by Bill Johnson, not only describes how direction,
time, magnitude/volatility are important factors, but another major criterion
needs to be considered. The value of the option as measured by the remaining
time and past volatility of the underlying trading entity needs to be
evaluated. When putting all the probabilities in one’s favor, evaluating
whether an option price is overvalued or undervalued becomes part of a
successful option trade.